SERIE A,B - (16-DEC-2006) 2 in B, 2 in A

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Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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Greetings,

Mantova at NAPOLI - Montova's road record of 0W-6T-1L is bad enough. Over those seven games they have managed to score a mere 4 goals. Napoli has yet to lose at home (4W-3T-0L), and have conceded 5. This game has tie written all over it, but will spot the 0.5 goal to Montova as I will not go against Napoli's defense facing an offense that has failed miserably on the road. Barring red cards, which have been appearing lately in matches involving Napoli, feel that the home side has enough offensive punch at home to produce a victory, thus avoiding: A-First home loss for Napoli, and B-Mantova's first road win. Ofcourse with my recent luck, anything is possible in the realm of probability.
The play: Napoli -0.5 +111 (3.5 units)

Frosinone at GENOA - The important thing here is that Genoa has struggled of late, and overall their defense is soft. Still, at home they are a "mini Palermo" capable of scoring. Frosinone is actually playing well of late, and could produce the upset. As I see both of these teams scoring,
is it too much ask for an honest over?
The play: Genoa OVER 2 and 2.5 +100 (3.5 units)

Cagliari at UDINESE - Next three matches for Udinese are not going to be easy, and best chance for a badly needed victory is today against Cagliari. I am hoping the following vodoo numbers will reinforce that statement: Udinese, 2 goals allowed in 7 home games. Cagliary, 0W-5D-2L on the road. I am fully aware that Cagliary is a "Draw" machine, but will side with the home team desperate for a win.
The play: Udinese -0.5 -103 (3.5 units)

AC Milan at FIORENTINA - This is Serie A, where nothing makes sense. All indicators point to a convincing Fiorentina win....and that's what bothers me. Nonetheless, too difficult to pass up.
The play: Fiorentina pk and -0.5 +122 (4 units)

Good luck

MA
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
Joined
Sep 26, 2006
Messages
1,383
Tokens
the mad actuarian said:
Greetings,

Mantova at NAPOLI - Montova's road record of 0W-6T-1L is bad enough. Over those seven games they have managed to score a mere 4 goals. Napoli has yet to lose at home (4W-3T-0L), and have conceded 5. This game has tie written all over it, but will spot the 0.5 goal to Montova as I will not go against Napoli's defense facing an offense that has failed miserably on the road. Barring red cards, which have been appearing lately in matches involving Napoli, feel that the home side has enough offensive punch at home to produce a victory, thus avoiding: A-First home loss for Napoli, and B-Mantova's first road win. Ofcourse with my recent luck, anything is possible in the realm of probability.
The play: Napoli -0.5 +111 (3.5 units)
Napoli 0 Mantova 0 (loss -3.5 units)

Frosinone at GENOA - The important thing here is that Genoa has struggled of late, and overall their defense is soft. Still, at home they are a "mini Palermo" capable of scoring. Frosinone is actually playing well of late, and could produce the upset. As I see both of these teams scoring,
is it too much ask for an honest over?
The play: Genoa OVER 2 and 2.5 +100 (3.5 units)
Genoa 3 Frosinone 2 (Win +3.5 units)

Cagliari at UDINESE - Next three matches for Udinese are not going to be easy, and best chance for a badly needed victory is today against Cagliari. I am hoping the following vodoo numbers will reinforce that statement: Udinese, 2 goals allowed in 7 home games. Cagliary, 0W-5D-2L on the road. I am fully aware that Cagliary is a "Draw" machine, but will side with the home team desperate for a win.
The play: Udinese -0.5 -103 (3.5 units)
Udinese 3 Cagliari 1 (+3.5 units)

AC Milan at FIORENTINA - This is Serie A, where nothing makes sense. All indicators point to a convincing Fiorentina win....and that's what bothers me. Nonetheless, too difficult to pass up.
The play: Fiorentina pk and -0.5 +122 (4 units)
Fiorentina 2 AC Milan 2 (-2 units)
(1 minute away from +4.88 units...instead -2 units, thanks to 90th minute
Gilardino miracle)

Good luck

MA

W2-L2 (+1.5 units)
 

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